2009—2018年桂林市生态足迹动态变化与驱动力分析

doi:10.16088/j.issn.1001-6600.2022071902

Abstract

Abstract: Guilin City is an innovative demonstration area of the National Sustainable Development Agenda. Clarifying the evolution characteristics and driving mechanism of its ecological footprint can effectively promote the sustainable development of Guilin City. Based on the three-dimensional ecological footprint model, this paper analyzes the dynamic changes of Guilin’s ecological footprint from 2009 to 2018, and uses the partial least squares method to reveal the factors that affect the dynamic changes of ecological footprint. The research results showed that: 1) The per capita ecological carrying capacity of Guilin was relatively stable from 2009 to 2018. The per capita ecological footprint first increased and then decreased, reaching a peak of 1.859 hm²/person in 2015. The per capita ecological deficit first increases and then decreases, and the ecosystem is overloaded due to excessive resource consumption. 2) From 2009 to 2018, the per capita footprint of Guilin remained basically unchanged. The per capita footprint depth first increased and then decreased, reaching the maximum value in 2015. During the study period, the per capita footprint depth was greater than 1. 3) The stock-to-flow utilization ratio and the ecological pressure index both increased first and then decreased. The stock-to-flow utilization ratio was at a peak in 2014, and the ecological stress index peaked in 2017. 4) City scale has a significant negative driving effect on the ecological footprint. Economic development and social consumption have a positive driving effect on the ecological footprint, the added value of the secondary industry has a significant impact, and the regional GDP, the added value of the primary industry and the per capita disposable income of urban residents have an important impact on the ecological footprint.

Key words: three dimensional ecological footprint, utilization of natural capital, partial least squares method, driving mechanism, Guilin, China

CLC Number: X22

LI Qian, MA Jiangming. Dynamic Changes and Driving Forces Analysis of Ecological Footprint in Guilin, China, from 2009 to 2018[J].Journal of Guangxi Normal University(Natural Science Edition), 2023, 41(4): 178-188.

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Dynamic Changes and Driving Forces Analysis of Ecological Footprint in Guilin, China, from 2009 to 2018

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