基于组合赋权可拓物元评价模型的玉林市水资源承载力评价

doi:10.16088/j.issn.1001-6600.2024032801

Abstract

Abstract: Yulin’s GDP is at the forefront of the whole region, but its per capita water resources are at the bottom. Due to regional water shortage and unreasonable water resources development and utilization, some urban areas have the problems of water cut off or restricted water supply during peak periods, which has made Yulin’s sustainable economic and social development face severe challenges. In order to make scientific and rational use of water resources in Yulin City, based on the extension matter element evaluation model, 18 evaluation indexes were selected by the principal component analysis method, and the comprehensive weights of subjective and objective weights were calculated by the game theory to evaluate the water resources carrying capacity of Yulin City from 2010 to 2020. The results showed that the water resources carrying capacity of Yulin City fluctuated and increased from 2010 to 2020, but the change range was small; The carrying capacity of water resources was weak in 2011, and medium in other years. In 2010, 2014 and 2018, there was a trend of transformation from V₃ (medium load) to V₄(Relatively weak load). The main influencing factors of water resources carrying capacity in Yulin City were the utilization rate of water resources development, ecological water use rate, water consumption per ten thousand yuan GDP and population density. At the same time, considering the actual situation that the precipitation in Yulin was relatively rich but the spatial and temporal distribution is uneven, it is suggested that improvement of the water resources allocation capacity of Yulin should be considered as the key content of work, and the strictest water resources management system should be implemented to comprehensively improve Yulin’s water resources carrying capacity, and achieve sustainable social and economic development.

Key words: water resources carrying capacity, evaluation index system, extension matter-element model, game theory, combinatorial empowerment, principal component analysis, Yulin City

CLC Number: TV211.1

MO Chongxun, NONG Song, TANG Lingling, HUANG Yi, LI Yugong, ZHU Hanlin. Evaluation of Water Resources Carrying Capacity in Yulin City Based on Combination-Weighted Extension Matter-Element Evaluation Model[J].Journal of Guangxi Normal University(Natural Science Edition), 2025, 43(1): 230-241.

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Evaluation of Water Resources Carrying Capacity in Yulin City Based on Combination-Weighted Extension Matter-Element Evaluation Model

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