Journal of Guangxi Normal University(Natural Science Edition) ›› 2015, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (2): 120-126.doi: 10.16088/j.issn.1001-6600.2015.02.019

Previous Articles     Next Articles

Analysis of Trend and Annual Lowest Runoff Periodic Variationin the Nandong Subterranean River System

QIN Xing-ming1,2, JIANG Zhong-cheng1, LAN Fu-ning1, LUO Shu-wen1, LAO Wen-ke1, WU Hua-ying1   

  1. 1.Institute of Karst Geology, Chinese Academy of Geological Sciences, Key Laboratory of Karst Ecosystemand Treatment of Rocky Desertification, Ministry of Land and Resources, Guilin Guangxi,541004, China;
    2.School of Resources and Environment, Southwest University, Chongqing 400716,China
  • Received:2015-01-20 Online:2015-02-10 Published:2018-09-20

Abstract: In order to serve a reference for the development and utilization of the water resources, the time series of lowest runoff in the Nandong subterranean river system from 1990 to 2013, as well as the variation trend, have been analyzed by using the methods of wavelet analysis and rescaled range analysis. The research results showed that the lowest runoff series have obvious multiple time scale properties, which has three main periods including 4 a,10 a and 15 a. And 10 a is the first main period, 4 a and 15 a are second and third, respectively. Meanwhile, the tendency of lowest runoff in the Nandong subterranean river system in the fulture was also studied. For the time series of 4 a,10 a and 15 a, the Hurst indexes were of 0.315 6,0.573 28,0.740 43, respectively. The fulture trend of 4 a scale for the lowest runoff was contrary to the past, but the fulture trend of long scales such as 10 a and 15 a were similar to the changes in the past.

Key words: lowest runoff, time series, variation trend, wavelet transform, rescaled range analysis, Nandong subterranean river system

CLC Number: 

  • P66
[1] 康彦仁,梁彬.云南南洞地下河系统的水文地质特征[J].水文地质工程地质,1996(4):28-30.
[2] 马祖陆.云南南洞地下河流域地貌特征及地下河发育演化的初步研究[J].中国岩溶,1993,12(3):273-283.
[3] 高明刚.云南南洞岩溶地下水温度场时空变化规律研究[J].中国岩溶,1995,14(1):19-29.
[4] 段乔文,周翠琼,李焱.云南开远南洞暗河系统生态环境地质管理保护区划分[J].地质灾害与环境保护,2004,15(2):57-62.
[5] 夏日元,莫源富,唐健生.云南蒙自盆地岩溶石漠化动态演变特征研究[C]//中国地质调查局.中国岩溶地下水与石漠化研究.南宁:广西科学技术出版社,2003:20-25.
[6] 王宇,张贵.滇东岩溶石山地区石漠化特征及成因[J].地球科学进展,2003,18(6):933-938.
[7] 地质矿产部岩溶地质研究所.云南南洞地下河系统的形成演化及水资源开发研究[R]. 桂林:地质矿产部岩溶地质研究所,1991.
[8] 张贵,周翠琼,康晓波.云南开远南洞地下河水质演变特征[J].中国岩溶,2008,27(4):366-370.
[9] 覃星铭,蒋忠诚,何丙辉,等. 南洞流域东部重点区的石漠化现状及治理对策分析[J].中国岩溶,2014,33(4):456-463.
[10] 杨立铮.贵州普定后寨地下河岩溶水运动特征[J].中国岩溶,1982(1):18-26.
[11] 王在高,梁虹.基于GIS分析喀斯特流域下垫面因素对枯季径流的影响:以贵州省河流为例[J].中国岩溶,2002,21(1):55-60.
[12] 罗书文,梁虹,杨桃,等.南明河流域枯水径流量的长期预报[J].水土保持通报,2008,28(5):44-47.
[13] 罗书文,邓亚东,覃星铭,等.漓江最枯径流量演变分析[J].水土保持通报,2014,34(6):64-72.
[14] 谢永玉,石朋,瞿思敏,等.岩溶流域枯季径流的区域频率分析[J].水电能源科学,2012,30(6):24-27.
[15] 沈利娜,蒋忠诚,尹辉,等.果化石漠化监测区岩溶生态环境系统安全评价[J].广西师范大学学报:自然科学版,2014,32(3):141-149.
[16] 梁虹,王在高.喀斯特流域枯水径流频率分析:以贵州省河流为例[J].中国岩溶,2002,21(2):106-113.
[17] 孙延奎.小波分析及其应用[M].北京:清华大学出版社,2005:5-102.
[18] 李贤彬,丁晶,李后强.子波分析及其在水文水资源中的潜在应用[J].四川联合大学学报:工程科学版,1997,1(4):49-51.
[19] 崔锦泰.小波分析导论[M].西安:西安交通大学出版社,1995:3-117.
[20] HURST H E.The longterm storage capacity of reservoirs[J].Transactions of the American Society of Civil Engineer,1951,116:770-799.
[21] 门宝辉,刘昌明,夏军,等.R/S 分析法在南水北调西线一期工程调水河流径流趋势预测中的应用[J].冰川冻土,2005,27(4):570-571.
[22] 王孝礼,胡宝清,夏军.水文时序趋势与变异点的R/S分析法[J].武汉大学学报:工学版,2002,35(2):11-12.
[23] 冯利华.基于R/S分析的水资源预测[J].系统工程理论与实践,2002,22(4):115-118.
[24] 冯平,牛军宜,张伟.基于R/S变换的水文时间序列演变特征研究[J].应用基础与工程科学学报,2011,19(1):1-8.
[25] 陈昭,梁静溪.赫斯特指数的分析和应用[J].中国软科学,2005(3):134-138.
[26] 覃小群,朱明秋,蒋忠诚.近年来我国西南岩溶石漠化研究进展[J].中国岩溶,2006,25(3):234-238.
[27] 李先琨,何成新,蒋忠诚.岩溶脆弱生态区生态恢复、重建的原理与方法[J].中国岩溶,2003,22(1):12-174.
[1] XU Lunhui, CHEN Kaixun. Prediction of Road Network Speed Distribution Based on BP Neural Network Optimization by Improved Firefly Algorithm [J]. Journal of Guangxi Normal University(Natural Science Edition), 2019, 37(2): 1-8.
[2] ZHANG Jinlei, LUO Yuling, FU Qiang. Predicting Financial Time Series Based on Gated Recurrent Unit Neural Network [J]. Journal of Guangxi Normal University(Natural Science Edition), 2019, 37(2): 82-89.
[3] CHEN Jin, LUO Xiaoshu. A Novel QPSK Signal Demodulation Method Based on Wavelet Transform [J]. Journal of Guangxi Normal University(Natural Science Edition), 2016, 34(2): 35-45.
[4] ZHOU Keliang, XING Sulin, NIE Congnan. A Heart Sound Denoising Method Based onAdaptive Threshold Wavelet Transform [J]. Journal of Guangxi Normal University(Natural Science Edition), 2016, 34(1): 19-25.
[5] HU Qin-chun, HE Yi-gang, HE Jing. Time-domain Implementation of Gaussian-like Wavelet Transform Based on Switched Current Circuits [J]. Journal of Guangxi Normal University(Natural Science Edition), 2013, 31(4): 18-22.
[6] HU Yu-wen, XU Jiu-cheng, SUN Lin. Decision Evolution Sets [J]. Journal of Guangxi Normal University(Natural Science Edition), 2013, 31(3): 23-29.
[7] ZHOU Yan-yan, FENG Jia-li. Algorithm of Digital Audio Watermarking Based on Qualitative Mapping [J]. Journal of Guangxi Normal University(Natural Science Edition), 2011, 29(2): 200-204.
Viewed
Full text


Abstract

Cited

  Shared   
  Discussed   
No Suggested Reading articles found!